SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 70.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 12.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 3-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.62%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
70.63% ( 0.01) | 16.76% ( 0.01) | 12.61% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.6% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.88% ( -0.1) | 33.11% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.14% ( -0.12) | 54.85% ( 0.12) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.66% ( -0.02) | 8.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.94% ( -0.06) | 29.06% ( 0.06) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.75% ( -0.09) | 38.25% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.99% ( -0.09) | 75.01% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.06% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.51% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)6-1 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 70.63% | 1-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 16.76% | 1-2 @ 3.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 12.61% |
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