SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
52.84% ( -0.84) | 24.01% ( 0.45) | 23.15% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( -1.5) | 48.32% ( 1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.53% ( -1.39) | 70.46% ( 1.38) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.76% ( -0.87) | 18.24% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.73% ( -1.5) | 49.27% ( 1.5) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.69% ( -0.48) | 35.3% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.94% ( -0.5) | 72.06% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.39% Total : 52.83% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.99% Total : 23.15% |
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