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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 13, 2022 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 1
Torque

Fagundez (27')
Rodriguez (35'), Coelho (54'), Fagundez (70'), Repetto (70'), Carballo (84'), Trezza (90+3'), Repetto (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arismendi (59')
Pena (23'), Milesi (70'), Arismendi (72'), Morales (90+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo City Torque.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Danubio 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Torque 0-0 River Plate
Friday, June 3 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawMontevideo City Torque
46.06%24.89%29.05%
Both teams to score 55.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5%47.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29%69.71%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33%20.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.74%53.26%
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9%30.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76%66.25%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 46.06%
    Montevideo City Torque 29.05%
    Draw 24.89%
NacionalDrawMontevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 9.28%
2-0 @ 7.73%
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-0 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 46.06%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 6.22%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 7.47%
1-2 @ 7.07%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 29.05%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Penarol 1-0 Nacional
Sunday, February 27 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Liverpool
Monday, February 21 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rentistas 0-4 Nacional
Saturday, February 12 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-3 Maldonado
Sunday, February 6 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 4-2 River Plate
Saturday, December 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Nacional
Friday, November 26 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Torque 1-2 Albion
Monday, February 28 at 10.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-3 Torque
Saturday, February 19 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Barcelona 0-0 Torque (8-7 pen.)
Wednesday, February 16 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Torque 1-2 Fenix
Friday, February 11 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Torque 1-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, February 9 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-1 Torque
Saturday, February 5 at 12.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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