Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 12.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.64%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Newry City AFC	Draw	Crusaders
12.9% ( 0.2)	20.03% ( 0.22)	67.06% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 45.8% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.35% (

-0.49)

47.64% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.16% (

-0.45)

69.84% (

0.45)

Newry City AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.81% (

0.03)

47.19% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.37% (

0.02)

82.63% (

-0.02)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.73% (

-0.27)

13.27% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.93% (

-0.56)

40.07% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Newry City AFC 12.9%

Crusaders 67.06%

Draw 20.03%

Newry City AFC	Draw	Crusaders
1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 12.9%	1-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 20.03%	0-2 @ 12.77% 0-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0) 0-3 @ 8.6% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 6.46% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 4.34% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 3.26% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 67.06%