SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Flint Town United |
34.13% ( -0.03) | 23.01% | 42.86% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 64.65% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.51% ( -0.01) | 36.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.37% ( -0.01) | 58.63% ( 0.01) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% ( -0.02) | 21.59% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.32% ( -0.03) | 54.68% ( 0.03) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% ( 0.01) | 17.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.91% ( 0.02) | 48.09% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Flint Town United |
| 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 34.13% | 1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 6.74% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0)3-3 @ 2% ( -0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.91% 0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 4.04% Total : 42.87% |
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