SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norwich City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Millwall |
45.12% ( -0.35) | 25.89% ( -0.13) | 28.99% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 52.23% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.31% ( 0.78) | 51.69% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.53% ( 0.68) | 73.46% ( -0.68) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( 0.17) | 22.84% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.42% ( 0.25) | 56.57% ( -0.25) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.69% ( 0.78) | 32.31% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.19% ( 0.87) | 68.81% ( -0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.09% Total : 45.12% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.99% |
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