Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 51.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 23.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
51.48% ( 1.1)	25.47% ( 0.17)	23.05% ( -1.27)

Both teams to score 48.42% (

-1.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82% (

-1.74)

54.18% (

1.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41% (

-1.48)

75.59% (

1.48)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.93% (

-0.24)

21.07% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.12% (

-0.38)

53.88% (

0.38)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.35% (

-2.14)

38.65% (

2.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.61% (

-2.1)

75.39% (

2.1)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 51.47%

Athletico Paranaense 23.05%

Draw 25.46%

Palmeiras	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.75) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.42% Total : 51.47%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.46%	0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.05%