With Palmeiras knowing they can ill-afford to allow their opponents to move eight points clear of them at the top of the table, this should be a fiercely-contested encounter between the reigning champions and the primary contenders.
While form would dictate that Botafogo should be favourites to win the match, we expect the hosts' experience, quality and home support to make the difference in the end, with a narrow victory for the hosts predicted.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 68.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 11.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.27%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
-0.44) 
0.33) 
