Given the stakes, we expect the desperation and experience of Palmeiras will be just enough to advance them into the next round, in what promises to be a tense affair on Wednesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
-0.9) 
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