SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Boston River |
51.59% ( -0.16) | 27.82% ( 0.05) | 20.59% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 39.63% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.86% ( -0.06) | 64.14% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.72% ( -0.04) | 83.28% ( 0.05) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.71% ( -0.1) | 25.29% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.94% ( -0.14) | 60.06% ( 0.14) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.04% ( 0.08) | 46.96% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.54% ( 0.06) | 82.45% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 16.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 51.58% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.4% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 20.59% |
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