Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.35%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
40.64% ( -0.56) | 23.02% ( -0.09) | 36.33% ( 0.66) |
Both teams to score 65.11% ( 0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.91% ( 0.57) | 36.09% ( -0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.8% ( 0.62) | 58.2% ( -0.62) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.68% ( -0) | 18.32% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.59% ( -0.01) | 49.41% ( 0.01) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.71% ( 0.58) | 20.29% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.35% ( 0.92) | 52.65% ( -0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.76% Total : 40.64% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.33% |
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