SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 13.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.35%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.83%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Paraguay |
61.34% ( -0.08) | 25.1% ( 0.03) | 13.56% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 34.59% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.95% ( -0) | 64.05% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.78% ( -0) | 83.22% ( 0) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( -0.03) | 21.07% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.12% ( -0.05) | 53.88% ( 0.05) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.82% ( 0.08) | 56.18% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.43% ( 0.05) | 88.57% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peru | Draw | Paraguay |
| 1-0 @ 18.43% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 14.35% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 61.33% | 0-0 @ 11.83% 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 13.56% |
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