SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.04%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Platense had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.42%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.98%), while for a Platense win it was 1-0 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | River Plate |
25.48% ( -0.57) | 30.48% ( -0.27) | 44.04% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 38.02% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.45% ( 0.47) | 68.55% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.7% ( 0.31) | 86.29% ( -0.31) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.37% ( -0.24) | 44.63% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.36% ( -0.2) | 80.64% ( 0.19) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% ( 0.73) | 31.32% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.31% ( 0.84) | 67.68% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.73% Total : 25.47% | 0-0 @ 13.98% ( -0.24) 1-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.34% Total : 30.47% | 0-1 @ 16.22% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.21)1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.97% Total : 44.03% |
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