SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Swansea City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Swansea City |
29.59% ( 0.16) | 23.83% ( 0.03) | 46.57% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 59.41% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.55% ( -0.05) | 42.44% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.15% ( -0.05) | 64.85% ( 0.05) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( 0.08) | 27.17% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.43% ( 0.1) | 62.57% ( -0.1) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( -0.09) | 18.43% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.4% ( -0.16) | 49.6% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Swansea City |
| 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 29.59% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.51% Total : 46.57% |
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