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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
50.74% ( 0.17) | 24.56% ( -0.09) | 24.7% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.91% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.86% ( 0.34) | 49.14% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.79% ( 0.31) | 71.21% ( -0.31) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.62% ( 0.2) | 19.37% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.83% ( 0.33) | 51.17% ( -0.33) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.62% ( 0.12) | 34.38% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.91% ( 0.13) | 71.08% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 50.74% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 24.7% |
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