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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 55.69%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
55.69% ( -1.28) | 19.98% ( 0.45) | 24.32% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 68.78% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.83% ( -1.29) | 28.16% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.05% ( -1.62) | 48.94% ( 1.62) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.6% ( -0.72) | 10.4% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.06% ( -1.66) | 33.94% ( 1.66) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( -0.15) | 23.24% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.84% ( -0.22) | 57.15% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.15)4-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.64% Total : 55.69% | 1-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.57% Total : 19.98% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.9% Total : 24.32% |
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