SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Ayr United |
50.16% ( -0.12) | 23.9% ( 0) | 25.93% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.24% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.69% ( 0.08) | 45.31% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.35% ( 0.08) | 67.65% ( -0.08) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.87% ( -0.02) | 18.12% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.92% ( -0.03) | 49.08% ( 0.03) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( 0.13) | 31.3% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.34% ( 0.16) | 67.66% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.16% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 25.93% |
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