SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.73%) and 1-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Bayern Munich |
46.67% ( -0.25) | 21.81% ( 0.14) | 31.52% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 68.07% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.44% ( -0.67) | 31.56% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.95% ( -0.79) | 53.05% ( 0.79) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.78% ( -0.34) | 14.22% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.04% ( -0.66) | 41.96% ( 0.65) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.36% ( -0.27) | 20.64% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.79% ( -0.42) | 53.21% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.66% Total : 46.67% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.52% |
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