SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.44%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 1-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Chelsea |
55.44% ( -14.43) | 20.86% ( 4.45) | 23.69% ( 9.99) |
| Both teams to score 64.56% ( 2.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.74% ( -4.77) | 33.26% ( 4.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.98% ( -5.67) | 55.02% ( 5.67) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.88% ( -4.76) | 12.11% ( 4.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.32% ( -11.14) | 37.68% ( 11.14) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( 6.98) | 26.54% ( -6.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.25% ( 8.41) | 61.75% ( -8.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( -1.23)1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 6.69% ( -1.3)3-0 @ 5.04% ( -2.26)3-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.53% ( -1.68)4-0 @ 2.66% ( -2.11)4-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.51)5-1 @ 1.49% ( -1.23)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -1.37)4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.5)Other @ 2.67% Total : 55.44% | 1-1 @ 9% ( 1.97) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 1.29)0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.75)3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.37)Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.86% | 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 2.13) 0-1 @ 4.26% ( 1.57)0-2 @ 2.83% ( 1.36)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.96)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 1.24)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.72)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.43)Other @ 3.03% Total : 23.69% |
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