SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 3-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | New England Revolution |
64.95% ( -0.1) | 18.5% ( 0.04) | 16.56% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.83% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.36% ( -0.05) | 32.64% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.69% ( -0.06) | 54.31% ( 0.06) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.51% ( -0.04) | 9.49% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.16% ( -0.09) | 31.83% ( 0.09) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% ( 0.03) | 32.79% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.64% ( 0.04) | 69.35% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.21% 4-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.48% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.85% Total : 64.95% | 1-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.5% | 1-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 16.56% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
