SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for New York Red Bulls in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York Red Bulls.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Charlotte FC |
58.25% ( -0.05) | 23.48% ( 0.03) | 18.27% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.03% ( -0.07) | 51.97% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.29% ( -0.06) | 73.71% ( 0.06) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.41% ( -0.04) | 17.59% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.84% ( -0.07) | 48.16% ( 0.07) |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.55% ( -0.02) | 42.45% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.18% ( -0.02) | 78.82% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 1-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 58.24% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.74% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 18.27% |
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