SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 70.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 11.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | CF Montreal |
70.68% ( 1.86) | 17.72% ( -0.82) | 11.59% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.41% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.35% ( 1.11) | 40.65% ( -1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.96% ( 1.13) | 63.03% ( -1.13) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.72% ( 0.78) | 10.28% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.34% ( 1.74) | 33.66% ( -1.75) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.07% ( -1) | 44.92% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.12% ( -0.82) | 80.87% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.42)3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.4)4-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.25)5-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.3% Total : 70.68% | 1-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.87% Total : 17.72% | 0-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.04% Total : 11.6% |
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