SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Lyon |
41.36% ( -0.12) | 23.39% ( 0.04) | 35.25% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 63.5% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.88% ( -0.2) | 38.11% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.62% ( -0.22) | 60.38% ( 0.21) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.14% ( -0.14) | 18.85% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.69% ( -0.23) | 50.31% ( 0.22) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% ( -0.06) | 21.75% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.07% ( -0.08) | 54.93% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.51% Total : 41.36% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.25% |
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