Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 81.2%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Platense had a probability of 5.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.07%) and 1-0 (12.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.02) 
