SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
36.08% ( 0.03) | 25.29% ( 0.01) | 38.63% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.67% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.96% ( -0.03) | 47.04% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.72% ( -0.03) | 69.28% ( 0.03) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% | 25.41% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.77% | 60.22% ( -0) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( -0.03) | 24.02% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.72% ( -0.05) | 58.28% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.08% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.21% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 38.63% |
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