Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 57.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Caen had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.
1.08) 
-0.41) 
