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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salisbury | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
34.45% ( 0.16) | 24.25% ( 0.07) | 41.31% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 60.12% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.56% ( -0.29) | 42.44% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.16% ( -0.29) | 64.84% ( 0.29) |
| Salisbury Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.81% ( -0.04) | 24.19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.48% ( -0.06) | 58.52% ( 0.06) |
| AFC Hornchurch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( -0.23) | 20.69% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.71% ( -0.36) | 53.29% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salisbury | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
| 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.45% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 41.31% |
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