SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
47.06% ( 0.04) | 22.96% ( -0) | 29.98% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.82% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.94% ( -0) | 38.06% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.67% ( -0) | 60.33% ( 0) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% ( 0.01) | 16.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.69% ( 0.02) | 46.31% ( -0.02) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( -0.02) | 24.72% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.72% ( -0.03) | 59.27% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.88% 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0)Other @ 4.41% Total : 47.06% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.09% 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.98% |
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