SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 52.88%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Portland Timbers |
52.88% ( -0.01) | 23% ( -0) | 24.12% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 57.37% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.06% ( 0.02) | 42.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.66% ( 0.02) | 65.34% ( -0.01) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.76% ( 0) | 16.24% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.23% ( 0.01) | 45.77% ( -0.01) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.5% ( 0.01) | 31.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.11% ( 0.02) | 67.89% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.91% 3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 52.88% | 1-1 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.41% 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.72% Total : 24.12% |
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