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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 56.37%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 22.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.42%) and 1-0 (7%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | St Louis City |
56.37% ( -0.05) | 20.77% ( 0) | 22.86% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 63.78% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.21% ( 0.03) | 33.8% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.37% ( 0.03) | 55.63% ( -0.03) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.98% ( -0) | 12.02% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.51% ( -0.01) | 37.49% ( 0.01) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% ( 0.06) | 27.5% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37% ( 0.07) | 63% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.37% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.31% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0)4-3 @ 1% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.68% Total : 56.37% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.31% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 20.77% | 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.27% 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 22.86% |
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