Despite sitting in the bottom half of the table, Colon have remained difficult to defeat this season, and we expect them to make San Lorenzo work hard for all three points on Sunday.
However, the hosts possess by far the best defensive record in the division, and this should help them return to winning ways.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Colon had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.28%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood.
-1.11) 
1.12) 
