SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.87%) and 2-1 (7.45%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
39.1% ( -0.01) | 30.21% ( 0) | 30.69% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 41.01% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.84% ( -0.01) | 66.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.3% ( -0.01) | 84.7% ( 0.01) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( -0.01) | 32.99% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.43% ( -0.01) | 69.57% ( 0.01) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.19% ( 0) | 38.81% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.46% ( 0) | 75.54% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 14.19% 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.09% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.2% | 0-1 @ 12.11% 1-2 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.55% Total : 30.69% |
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