J1 League | Gameweek 29
Sep 30, 2023 at 11am UK
EDION Stadium
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
| Result |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
47.98% ( 0.08) | 26.36% ( -0.01) | 25.65% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.41% ( -0.02) |
| 44.51% ( -0) | 55.48% ( 0) |
| 23.33% ( -0) | 76.67% ( 0) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| 76.85% ( 0.04) | 23.14% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.98% ( 0.05) | 57.01% ( -0.05) |
| 62.98% ( -0.06) | 37.01% ( 0.06) |
