Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
Result | ||
Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
62.55% ( -0) | 20.83% ( -0.01) | 16.61% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.41% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.36% ( 0.09) | 43.63% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.97% ( 0.09) | 66.03% ( -0.09) |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.64% ( 0.02) | 13.36% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.75% ( 0.06) | 40.25% ( -0.06) |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.49% ( 0.07) | 39.5% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.8% ( 0.07) | 76.19% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
2-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.18% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 62.55% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.83% | 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 16.61% |
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