Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.
-0.1) 
0.03) 
