Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.05) 
