SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 35.16%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 2-1 (6.73%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (13.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | San Lorenzo |
35.16% ( -1.97) | 31.21% ( -0.66) | 33.63% ( 2.62) |
| Both teams to score 39.05% ( 1.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.29% ( 1.98) | 68.7% ( -1.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.6% ( 1.27) | 86.4% ( -1.27) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.04% ( -0.22) | 36.96% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.25% ( -0.22) | 73.75% ( 0.22) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.95% ( 3.14) | 38.05% ( -3.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.19% ( 2.91) | 74.81% ( -2.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 13.99% ( -1.16) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.62)2-1 @ 6.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.84% Total : 35.15% | 0-0 @ 14.06% ( -1.07) 1-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.27)Other @ 0.37% Total : 31.2% | 0-1 @ 13.58% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.61)1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.57)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.34)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.17)Other @ 1.67% Total : 33.62% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
