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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 59.43%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 20.31% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
59.43% ( 1.19) | 20.27% ( -0.33) | 20.31% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 61.69% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.18% ( 0.36) | 34.82% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.21% ( 0.4) | 56.79% ( -0.4) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.49% ( 0.44) | 11.51% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.61% ( 0.93) | 36.39% ( -0.93) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% ( -0.57) | 30.29% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.54% ( -0.68) | 66.46% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.13)1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.09)5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 59.43% | 1-1 @ 9% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.27% | 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.84% Total : 20.31% |
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