SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
32.15% ( -0.1) | 24.56% ( -0.02) | 43.28% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.22% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.4% ( 0.05) | 44.6% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.03% ( 0.05) | 66.97% ( -0.05) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% ( -0.04) | 26.58% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.2% ( -0.05) | 61.8% ( 0.04) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.29% ( 0.07) | 20.7% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.69% ( 0.12) | 53.31% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.15% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 43.28% |
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