Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 54.39%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Austin FC |
54.39% ( -0.13) | 21.8% ( 0.19) | 23.81% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 61.24% ( -0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.33% ( -1) | 37.66% ( 0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.1% ( -1.08) | 59.9% ( 1.07) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.1% ( -0.38) | 13.89% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.68% ( -0.75) | 41.31% ( 0.74) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.12% ( -0.61) | 28.88% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.25% ( -0.75) | 64.75% ( 0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Austin FC |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.56% Total : 54.39% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.8% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 23.81% |
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