SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
46.2% ( -0.02) | 24.69% ( 0.01) | 29.1% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.15% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.41% ( -0.03) | 46.59% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.14% ( -0.03) | 68.86% ( 0.03) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( -0.02) | 20.24% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.43% ( -0.03) | 52.57% ( 0.03) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% ( -0.02) | 29.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.37% ( -0.01) | 65.63% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 46.2% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 29.11% |
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