Games between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica have often served up fireworks and we anticipate another action-packed contest at the Estadio Jose Alvalade with plenty of goalmouth action. As Aguias head into the weekend as the more in-form side, and we predict that they will heap more misery on the out-of-sorts hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Benfica win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
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