SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Genk |
28.78% ( 0.04) | 23.34% ( 0.02) | 47.88% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.59% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.35% ( -0.04) | 40.64% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.97% ( -0.04) | 63.03% ( 0.04) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( 0) | 26.81% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.9% ( 0) | 62.1% ( -0) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% ( -0.03) | 17.22% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.49% ( -0.06) | 47.51% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 28.78% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.14% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 4.02% Total : 47.88% |
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