SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Exeter City |
58.93% ( -0.19) | 21.68% ( 0.04) | 19.39% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.03% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.16% ( 0.07) | 42.83% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.76% ( 0.07) | 65.24% ( -0.07) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.79% ( -0.04) | 14.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.07% ( -0.07) | 41.92% ( 0.07) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.13% ( 0.2) | 35.86% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.36% ( 0.2) | 72.64% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Exeter City |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 58.93% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 19.39% |
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