SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Spartans |
26.94% ( -0.63) | 24.77% ( -0.1) | 48.28% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.7% ( -0.01) | 48.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.55% ( -0.01) | 70.44% ( 0.01) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.91% ( -0.49) | 32.09% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.43% ( -0.57) | 68.56% ( 0.56) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% ( 0.3) | 20.04% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.73% ( 0.48) | 52.26% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.66% Total : 26.94% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 48.27% |
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