SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Augsburg |
57.91% ( -0.3) | 21.24% ( 0.16) | 20.84% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.99% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.26% ( -0.58) | 38.74% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.95% ( -0.61) | 61.04% ( 0.6) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.82% ( -0.28) | 13.17% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.12% ( -0.56) | 39.88% ( 0.56) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( -0.2) | 32.06% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% ( -0.23) | 68.53% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stuttgart | Draw | Augsburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.64% Total : 57.91% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 20.84% |
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