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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Perth Glory |
58.15% ( 0.17) | 21.21% ( -0.1) | 20.64% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.76% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.11% ( 0.35) | 38.89% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.79% ( 0.36) | 61.2% ( -0.36) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.85% ( 0.16) | 13.15% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.16% ( 0.33) | 39.84% ( -0.33) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.66% ( 0.13) | 32.34% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.15% ( 0.14) | 68.85% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.63% Total : 58.15% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 20.64% |
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