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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 91.34%. A draw had a probability of 6.1% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 2.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.62%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.82%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-2 (0.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for The New Saints in this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Newtown AFC |
91.34% ( -0.26) | 6.13% ( 0.19) | 2.53% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.32% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 81.48% ( -0.87) | 18.51% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 64.05% ( -1.28) | 35.94% ( 1.28) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.75% ( -0.14) | 2.25% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 89.23% ( -0.53) | 10.77% ( 0.53) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.34% ( -0.56) | 54.66% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.32% ( -0.34) | 87.68% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 3-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.35)5-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.13)6-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.26)6-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.14)7-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)7-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.1)5-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.07)8-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.08)6-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.25% Total : 91.33% | 1-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.48% Total : 6.13% | Other @ 2.53% Total : 2.53% |
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