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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Allianz Stadium
FL

Torino
0 - 1
Fiorentina


Ilic (67'), Ricci (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kean (41')
Bove (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Torino
Thursday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 Fiorentina

Although Torino have begun to falter, they have still lost only one Serie A home game this season, against top-five contenders Lazio. So, if the hosts can keep in-form Fiorentina at arm's length and avoid defensive mistakes, a precious point could be theirs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 52.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Torino had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawFiorentina
22.3% (-0.093 -0.09) 24.92% (-0.394 -0.39) 52.78% (0.486 0.49)
Both teams to score 49.11% (1.021 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18% (1.408 1.41)52.82% (-1.409 -1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (1.191 1.19)74.44% (-1.191 -1.19)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.38% (0.701 0.7)38.62% (-0.702 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.64% (0.662 0.66)75.36% (-0.66199999999999 -0.66)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (0.75699999999999 0.76)19.99% (-0.758 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (1.207 1.21)52.17% (-1.208 -1.21)
Score Analysis
    Torino 22.3%
    Fiorentina 52.77%
    Draw 24.92%
TorinoDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 5.63% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.49% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 1.78% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 22.3%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.439 -0.44)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 12.42% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-2 @ 10% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.52% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 5.37% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.11% (0.171 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.126 0.13)
0-4 @ 2.16% (0.082 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.06% (0.115 0.12)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 52.77%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Torino
Thursday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-0 Como
Friday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 3-2 Torino
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-2 Torino
Saturday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 2-3 Lazio
Sunday, September 29 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-2 Empoli
Tuesday, September 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Roma
Sunday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: St Gallen 2-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Last Game: Lecce 0-6 Fiorentina
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan
Sunday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 New Saints
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Conference League


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