SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Atlanta United |
40.18% ( -0.02) | 25.36% ( 0.01) | 34.46% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.17% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.42% ( -0.05) | 47.58% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.22% ( -0.05) | 69.78% ( 0.05) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( -0.03) | 23.46% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.52% ( -0.05) | 57.48% ( 0.05) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.39% ( -0.02) | 26.61% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.16% ( -0.03) | 61.84% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.18% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.46% |
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